Monthly Archives: February 2016

What, if Anything, will Trigger Inflation?

Inflation is always an important topic. As someone who follows this very important discussion with interest, I enjoy reading the opinions of my economist brethren, as they ruminate on inflation’s demise or its imminent return. This morning, after reading a … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

How to Predict a Recession. Accurately.

I’m often asked if there’s a good way to know if a recession is coming. The answer is yes, there is!  Really! Below, I’ll share a fairly accurate method of predicting recessions! You can amaze friends at your next party! … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Comments

Nope. No Recession.

Earlier today, the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, known as the BEA, reported that our gross domestic product – or GDP – increased at an annual rate of 1.00 percent in the 4th quarter of 2015. This is the “second” … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

Is a Recession Just Around the Corner?

The US economy entered recession territory in November of 1973 and remained there for 16 months. Most economists attribute the economic decline to the quadrupling of oil prices by OPEC.  In October of that year, Arab nations began an oil … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 4 Comments

The Economics of Politics (Part 2)

Well, I meant to finish this BLOG a week or so ago. Sorry…I went skiing in Colorado instead. But I’m back! I finished the first part suggesting we need to take a look at the tax rates – said another … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 2 Comments

Japan’s Bond Yields and Political Adds: Both Negative!

As I’m taking a brief departure from yesterday’s political commentary, I needed a gimmick to bridge the two concepts. Since they’ve both now gone negative, I found it! Today, for the first time in history, the Japanese 10-year bond yields … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment

The Economics of Politics

Earlier today, the Wall Street Journal published an article about “Spain’s Socialists.” I was intrigued and took a look. It was the ‘socialist’ reference that hooked me: A word we’ve been hearing a lot more since Bernie “Feel the Bern” … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment

Negative Interest Rates? Really?

So let me get this straight: I borrow money from you…and YOU pay ME interest?   You give me money AND you give me interest?  Really?   Cool? Or not.  These are definitely unusual times.   The number of Central Banks sporting ‘negative’ … Continue reading

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a comment